MyPrivateBanking Blog
Daily Comments on the World of Wealth Management

Posts Tagged ‘passive investing’

How robo-advisors can make ETF investors smarter

Friday, March 27th, 2015

/by Francis Groves, Senior Analyst/

MyPrivateBanking was very pleased to include a profile of Schwab Intelligent Portfolios in our latest report on robo-advisors, published last week, AFTER the launch of the new Schwab service and to be able to make a full assessment of it. Inevitably in such a fast changing area, fresh developments in the robo-advisor sector keep coming and this week we have seen the announcement of the acquisition of LearnVest by Northwestern Mutual. We cover LearnVest in our report, even though we don’t see LearnVest as a full robo-advisor (and neither do LearnVest). However, we do think that LearnVest has some important robo characteristics and its pricing and range of services make it a disruptive force in the industry in a very similar way to robo-advisors. The company’s acquisition by a major financial institution is another example of the way in which corporate strategy is now becoming a major motor of the robo-advisory revolution, a topic that we cover in detail in our latest robo report, which we sub-titled ‘How Automated Investing is Infiltrating the Weath Management Industry’.

John Bogle, the highly respected founder of Vanguard, recently repeated his skeptical views about exchange traded funds (ETFs), saying to FTfm that they were an encouragement for investors to use index tracking in a counter-productive manner. Bogle has been a committed opponent of market timing tactics either by private investors or mutual fund managers and at Vanguard he was a pioneer of index investing. Although many would consider ETFs to be index tracking instrument ‘par excellence’, he’s convinced that investors will be tempted to trade too frequently for their own good. Vanguard’s  own current CEO has come out against Bogle’s criticism in favor of ETFs as a healthy innovation that have lowered the costs of investing for millions of people.

In the light of this debate about the dangers of ETFs, the robo-advisor trend could be a godsend to the ETF industry. Not only are robo-advisors an effective way to encourage people to start investing, they are almost all proponents of planned investing as opposed to impulsive investment decisions. With the robo-advisors around, ETF sponsors can say ‘look, these new robo platforms depend on our products and demonstrate that it’s perfectly possible to use ETFs prudently for investors’ long-term gain.’

Of course, robo-advisors have yet to prove their index tracking commitment in a number of ways. Individual robo-advisors could stray off the path of passive or mainly passive investing and become too smart for their clients’ good. Also, as has often been said, we’ve yet to see how robo-advisor clients behave in a real panic in the financial markets. Finally, we don’t yet have data on how consistently robo-advisor clients are behaving. Are clients sticking with the plan or do they sign up with a robo in a burst of enthusiasm and then lose interest, leaving a perfectly proportioned ‘bonsai ‘ portfolio in their account rather than a full grown tree to provide shelter in retirement or adversity.

On this last point, our view is that some investors will be committed enough to enjoy real benefits and some won’t, but enough people will use their accounts in the way the robo-advisors intend for the robo model to count as a success and to be held up as an example to be followed in the retail investment market.

 

Index Investing Gets Boost from Dying Banker

Monday, November 29th, 2010

The New York Times reports about Gordon Murray, a banker who has a deadly form of cancer who has written a book that “is itself a remarkable story of an almost willful ignorance of the futility of active money management - and [shows] how he finally stumbled upon a better way of investing. Mr. Murray now stands as one the highest-ranking Wall Street veterans to take back much of what he and his colleagues worked for during their careers”

It seems that the idea of passive, index-oriented money and wealth management is rapidly catching on. It is extraordinary that the New York Times runs such a prominent story promoting passive wealth management. It is another symptom of a changing investment paradigm. The wealth industry should listen to this dying man.

 

Do-It-Yourself Passive Investing

Thursday, August 19th, 2010

The guys from Passive Investing in Geneva have just published a short but on-the-spot new DIY-guide to passive investing. It’s worth the read if you are toying with the idea to get into passive investing or if you would like to review your investment approach. Make also sure to read the MyPrivateBanking-Guide on ETF Risks. If you follow the advise of these two papers, your investment performance will probably beat 95% of conventional wealth managers…

 

Quant Funds - Once Red Hot, Now Just As Bad As Other Active Funds

Wednesday, August 4th, 2010

Once upon a time, quant funds were THE investment vehicle every sophisticated investor had to be in. For instance, in 2006 Kiplinger, one of the big personal finance platforms, argued that quant funds were a revolution in active investing, taking the emotion out of investment decisions:

“Human emotion and behavior are too often the enemy of sound investment hygiene. You probably should be buying when the herd is selling and selling when the herd is buying. Many investors fall deeply in love with the stocks they own. Fund managers and Wall Street security analysts often behave like cheerleaders for the companies they’re supposed to be dispassionately analyzing. All this emotion partly explains the growing interest in so-called quantitative funds, mutual funds largely managed by soulless computers that crunch the numbers.”

So far, so good. But what happened to the quant funds of all those math whizzes? Morningstar just published an analysis of quant funds and the results are devastating:

“The carnage has been widespread. For example, seven of Bridgeway’s eight actively managed funds that rely exclusively on quant models land in the bottom third of their Morningstar categories over three years through July 28, 2010. The same is true of six of Goldman Sachs’ eight quant funds with three-year records. JP Morgan has a lineup of eight Intrepid brand quant funds, and each has lagged its typical category peer over the past three years. Vanguard’s quant group has struggled, as has AXA Rosenberg–its four Laudus funds will soon be liquidated.”

How come? Basically, quant funds use many different and complex variables to predict stock market success that showed good performance in the past. Yet, history never repeats itself exactly. The crash began in the summer of 2007. Most quant funds lost substantially and, after changing their strategies over the course of the crisis, they were then not able to profit from the upswing since 2009.

Not surprising and another confirmation that active investing will not be able to beat the market over extended times. Tragically, investors have often paid exorbitant fees to the quant funds as many of them used hedge-fund-style compensation models.

 

Why Investing Has Become More Democratic Than Ever

Tuesday, July 20th, 2010

I am pondering one sentence I stumbled upon today:

“It is ironic that the markets are now at their most democratic at time when returns are at their nadir.”

This is from the blog abnormal returns, a great source of financial debate. Basically, indivividual investors today have all the tools and vehicles to free themselves from unhealthy advice and make their own decisions:

“The ironic thing is that at a time of poor returns, the information and tools available for investors have improved dramatically. This is largely a function of the rise of Internet. Abundant data, cheap trades and an explosion in investment vehicles, i.e. ETFs, have made it ever more possible for individuals to manage their portfolios how the largest institutions did just a few years prior.”

I still think that this investor heaven is a far cry from what most private investors do today. Most individuals are still entrusting their wealth to a bank or a wealth adviser who is not free of conflict of interest when picking investment products for their clients. Most private investors still believe their advisers when they tell them how to time the markets or pick individual stocks or bonds. And on top of everything, most investors still pay way too much money to their wealth managers. It will be a long time until the majority of private investors really takes investing in their own hands. But, in any case, the revolution has begun and it offers too many advantages to individual investors to be stopped. Particularly in times of low returns the weaknesses of trading-oriented and active stratgies of most wealth managers become very clear to investors.

 
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